Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.117360 0.130752 0.144443 0.159450 0.175398 0.191804 0.209921
2024-10-13 0.099791 0.118322 0.137969 0.160220 0.184596 0.210368 0.239558
2024-10-20 0.086150 0.108096 0.132128 0.160121 0.191564 0.225547 0.264804
2024-10-27 0.074513 0.098736 0.126082 0.158763 0.196296 0.237634 0.286191
2024-11-03 0.066549 0.092720 0.123092 0.160209 0.203652 0.252259 0.310137
2024-11-10 0.061133 0.089145 0.122461 0.163976 0.213354 0.269330 0.336731
2024-11-17 0.054530 0.083485 0.118824 0.163744 0.218037 0.280386 0.356277
2024-11-24 0.050941 0.081286 0.119130 0.168021 0.227879 0.297323 0.382564
2024-12-01 0.046382 0.077418 0.117029 0.169079 0.233654 0.309346 0.403047
2024-12-08 0.041677 0.072954 0.113845 0.168512 0.237234 0.318610 0.420176
2024-12-15 0.038059 0.069686 0.111969 0.169389 0.242426 0.329690 0.439389
2024-12-22 0.034164 0.065700 0.108882 0.168493 0.245243 0.337781 0.454955
2024-12-29 0.031940 0.064062 0.108945 0.171750 0.253415 0.352603 0.478922
2025-01-05 0.029014 0.061123 0.107041 0.172281 0.258045 0.363050 0.497619
2025-01-12 0.026121 0.057980 0.104660 0.172022 0.261554 0.372052 0.514537
2025-01-19 0.023146 0.054430 0.101485 0.170515 0.263320 0.378801 0.528653
2025-01-26 0.021262 0.052510 0.100552 0.171979 0.268893 0.390275 0.548567
2025-02-02 0.020168 0.051844 0.101411 0.175889 0.277671 0.405795 0.573519
2025-02-09 0.018141 0.049343 0.099371 0.175631 0.280853 0.414201 0.589647
2025-02-16 0.017374 0.049060 0.100678 0.180090 0.290330 0.430627 0.615800
2025-02-23 0.015922 0.047355 0.099684 0.181191 0.295257 0.441231 0.634696
2025-03-02 0.014241 0.045028 0.097585 0.180596 0.297821 0.448765 0.649730
2025-03-09 0.012997 0.043437 0.096568 0.181509 0.302393 0.458864 0.667992